THE WELCH COMPANY
440 Davis Court #1602
San Francisco, CA 94111-2496
415 781 5700


S U M M A R Y


DIARY: September 10, 1995 05:24 PM Sunday; Rod Welch

Received response from Morris re Comm Metrics course proposal at GWU.

1...Summary/Objective
2...Audiovisual Tools
.....Computer Lab
3...Market Audience Targeting
.....Comment
4...Societies and Associations to Market
.....Comment
5...Basic Brochure Data Form
.....Morris Says
.....Rod's Comment
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris Comments
.....So the lack of SDS is the cause of recessions!!!
.....Rod's Comment
........Recessions
........Fourth Step - Faith, Vision, Courage
.....Morris Comments
.....Rod's Comment
........Communication Manager - Clear, Concise, Complete
.....Pushing a Button
6...Relevance Paragraph
.....Morris Comments
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris Comments
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris Comments
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris Comments
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris' Comment
.....Rod's Comment
.....Morris' Comment
.....Morris' Comment


..............
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CONTACTS 
0201 - Chips & Tech.                      408 434 0600
020101 - Mr. Morris E. Jones
020102 - Vice President =Ext. 4283
020103 - Advanced Products =fax 434 0765

SUBJECTS
Communication Metrics Course

0403 -
0403 -    ..
0404 - Summary/Objective
0405 -
040501 - Follow up ref SDS 16 0000, ref SDS 15 0000.
040502 -
040503 - Received Morris comments on the Communication Metrics course proposal,
040504 - ref DIP 4 which I submitted via Internet on 950909. ref SDS 16.
040506 -  ..
040507 - Reviewed and submitted responses via ref DIT 1
040508 -
040510 -  ..
0406 -
0407 -
0408 - Analysis
0409 -
040901 - Audiovisual Tools
040902 -
040903 - Morris does not indicate what audiovisual tools he might use to
040904 - conduct the course, which I asked about at ref SDS 16 line 70.
040905 -      ..
040906 -     Computer Lab
040907 -
040908 -     Morris says nothing about audiovisual equipment.  I thought/hoped
040909 -     he could offer ideas on tools to use for the presentation since he
040910 -     indicated yesterday he has taught courses, ref SDS 16 line 70, and
040911 -     has better exposure to how presentation tools are applied.
040913 -      ..
040914 -     Should we use the computer lab one day or half a day to go through
040915 -     the typical day scenario shown in para 5 under Brochure Data Form,
040916 -     at ref OF 1 line 276.  My concern is that the aim of the course is
040917 -     to educate about concepts and objectives.  The Lab can illustrate
040918 -     these, but runs the risk of people trying to do things they think
040919 -     will work, and then frustrated to find they lack the skill to do
040920 -     them.
040921 -
040923 -  ..
040924 - Market Audience Targeting
040925 -
040926 - Morris does not comment on the description of the audience at ref OF 1
040927 - line 112.
040928 -      ..
040929 -     Comment
040930 -
040931 -     We are aiming for executives because their job is to convert
040932 -     information from talking into useful knowledge.
040933 -
040935 -  ..
040936 - Societies and Associations to Market
040937 -
040938 - Morris asks why doctors are a target market since they are considered
040939 - to be "lousy" managers, per ref DIP 4 line 169.
040940 -      ..
040941 -     Comment
040942 -
040943 -     Communication Metrics is aimed at helping people improve their
040944 -     management by improving their ability to invest intellectual
040945 -     capital and by converting information into knowledge. This helps
040946 -     doctors and others who are not good managers, improve their work
040947 -     by applying sound management practice consistently.
040949 -      ..
040950 -     Kathy Welch is a nurse.  She says her hospital in Sacramento is
040951 -     adopting automated reporting to reduce errors from verbal and
040952 -     handwritten communications, ref SDS 10 line 27.  They hope that
040953 -     reducing errors will improve performance.
040954 -
040955 -
040957 -  ..
040958 - Basic Brochure Data Form
040959 -
040960 - On p. 1 the course is described in 5 words or less.  Morris comments
040961 - on the following description:
040962 -
040963 -          Risk Management:  New Strategy for a New World Order
040964 -      ..
040965 -     Morris Says
040966 -
040967 -     You don't even handle risk assesment or management !!!
040968 -
040969 -     Rod's Comment
040970 -
040971 -     I am not sure what Morris means.
040972 -
040973 -     Communication Metrics is aimed at discovering misunderstanding
040974 -     before it causes mistakes that cost money and waste time, as
040975 -     described in the NWO paper at ref OF 4 line 66.  Hidden mistakes
040976 -     under the rubric of Murphy's Law are the major risk of the New
040977 -     World Order, per NWO paper at ref OF 4 line 442.
040978 -
040980 -  ..
040981 - Under para 2 that describes the course in 10 - 15 words, Morris'
040982 - response shows:
040983 -
040984 -     Communication Metrics applies automated integration to create a
040985 -     quantum leap in the practice of management, productivity and
040986 -     earnings.
040987 -
040988 -     -->16
040990 -      ..
040991 -     Re-engineering by adding value to people in the age of the
040992 -     Information Highway, rather than downsizing
040993 -
040994 -     -->17
040996 -      ..
040997 -     Practical path to meet ISO criteria for automated management
040998 -     "processes," traceability and continual learning.
040999 -
041000 -     -->14, but I don't believe this is what you will present
041002 -      ..
041003 -     Rod's Comment
041004 -
041005 -     Is something missing in the transmission where Morris has items 16
041006 -     and 17?
041007 -
041008 -     What happened to 15?
041010 -      ..
041011 -     The "Outline shows more detail on what will be presented.  Does
041012 -     Morris' disbelief reflect perceived omissions from the Outline, or
041013 -     some other source showing what will or should be presented?
041015 -      ..
041016 -     I cite the SDS management cycle in the outline at ref OF 1 line
041017 -     602, which is analogous to the ISO standard reviewed at ref SDS 11
041018 -     line 291.  My experience using this cycle everyday shows it is
041019 -     "practical" to implement relative to other managers who cannot do
041020 -     this.  Nobody else can implement the ISO management cycle or any
041021 -     other management practice consistently.  The same holds for
041022 -     traceability and continual learning within the meaning of ISO
041023 -     critiera.
041024 -
041026 -  ..
041027 - Under para 5 describing benefits to attendees, I entered the
041028 - following:
041029 -
041030 -     Attendees will learn the cause and solution of management mistakes
041031 -     which lead to losses, cover-ups, failures and recessions.
041032 -      ..
041033 -     Morris Comments
041034 -
041035 -     The cause of management mistakes!!! really Rod.
041036 -
041037 -     So the lack of SDS is the cause of recessions!!!
041039 -      ..
041040 -     Rod's Comment
041041 -
041042 -     I explain the cause of management mistakes in the NWO paper as
041043 -     derived from the human mental impulse to summarize and the growing
041044 -     complexity of the world, ref OF 4 line 410, compounded by the
041045 -     Information Highway which speeds and widens impacts, ref OF 4 line
041046 -     442.
041048 -      ..
041049 -     The course outline offers a solution at ref OF 1 line 620 (entered
041050 -     at ref SDS 14 line 75) that requires three steps:
041051 -
041052 -         •  Management Science............ Communicaiton Metrics
041053 -         •  Information Techlology........ POIMS
041054 -         •  Tools......................... SDS
041055 -
041056 -       ...argued in the NWO paper at ref OF 4 line 1008.
041058 -      ..
041060 -      ..
041061 -     SDS overcomes "feel good" management practice, discussed with Stan
041062 -     Mosk and Morris at ref SDS 4 line 139, by bringing pressure to
041063 -     perform in a timely manner and correct misunderstandings, also
041064 -     discussed with Morris yesterday at ref SDS 16 line 119.
041065 -         ..
041066 -        Recessions
041067 -
041068 -        "Feel Good" management causes failure, as explained in the
041069 -        record on 911123, ref SDS 3 4910, which cumulatively leads to
041070 -        "recessions" under the rule laid down by Aristotle, cited in
041071 -        the NWO paper, per ref OF 4 6056 (reviewed by Newby Schweltzer,
041072 -        Ph.D., Chair, Economics Dep SF State, ref SDS 6 0000).
041074 -         ..
041075 -        On 950822 the NWO paper was modified to clarify this point that
041076 -        ignoring the past leads to failure at every level of economic
041077 -        activity. ref SDS 13 9433
041079 -         ..
041080 -        Fourth Step - Faith, Vision, Courage
041081 -
041082 -        The course Outline shows at ref OF 1 line 620, a crucial fourth
041083 -        step of engendering faith and courage to try new ideas in the
041084 -        context of a new "executive vision" to recognize the emerging
041085 -        New World Order, as explained in the NWO paper at ref OF 4 line
041086 -        1246.
041088 -      ..
041089 -     The purpose of the course is to build a foundation for the new
041090 -     vision based on attendees' daily experience using existing
041091 -     methods.
041092 -
041093 -
041095 -  ..
041096 - Another benefit listed is...
041097 -
041098 -     Attendees will learn the secret of investing intellectual capital
041099 -     to improve earnings using a powerful new technology to convert
041100 -     information into knowledge.
041101 -      ..
041102 -     Morris Comments
041103 -
041104 -     Can you document a case of improved earnings to date? or is it
041105 -     just disaster advoidance.  You have only worked on projects that
041106 -     were already deeply in trouble. (Court cases, and other consulting
041107 -     jobs).
041109 -      ..
041110 -     Press the red knoledge button in the upper left hand corner. Isn't
041111 -     this a skill, and not a technology.
041112 -
041113 -        Morris asked about this point earlier at ref SDS 7 line 74 and
041114 -        ref SDS 7 line 122.
041116 -      ..
041117 -     Rod's Comment
041118 -
041119 -     PG&E reported on Dec 30, 1994 that:
041120 -
041121 -        PG&E entered into contract Z10 5 245 94 for the Welch Company
041122 -        to provide automated management support beginning on August 11,
041123 -        1994.  Our intent was to evaluate Welch's product, SDS, for
041124 -        improving our management techniques.  As the lead PG&E contact
041125 -        with Welch, I reported in a memo dated September 27, 1994 that
041126 -        "...we have had very successful results in the application of
041127 -        SDS...." Since then, I have concluded that SDS can
041128 -        significantly improve PG&E earnings if adopted more widely.  I
041129 -        based this on our customer response, other PG&E department
041130 -        staff, and my own interaction with SDS.
041132 -      ..
041133 -     More generally, the source of "earnings" is the capacity to invest
041134 -     intellectual capital (see for example Management, Tasks,
041135 -     Responsibilities, Practices, by Peter F. Drucker, at ref SDS 5
041136 -     line 102, applied in the NWO paper at ref SDS 12 line 106,), by
041137 -     developing useful services and products, efficient manufacture,
041138 -     effective marketing, finance, distribution and support.  All
041139 -     require timely application of knowledge and ideas.
041141 -      ..
041142 -     SDS is a tool that facilitates the creation and application of
041143 -     knowledge and ideas by a unique integration of time, information
041144 -     and subjects.  Communication Metrics is the science of using this
041145 -     new capacity to greatest effect.
041147 -         ..
041148 -        Communication Manager - Clear, Concise, Complete
041149 -
041150 -        Communication Metrics uses SDS to create "intelligence" as
041151 -        explained on 950327, ref SDS 8 1225, and in the POIMS paper.
041152 -        ref OF 3 0582
041154 -         ..
041155 -        Skills of the Comunication Manager grow with use like driving a
041156 -        car, using mathamatics, operating a backhoe, doing chemestry,
041157 -        using a pencil or wordprocessing program to write. see 950327.
041158 -        ref SDS 8 6118, and in the NWO paper. ref OF 4 6369
041160 -         ..
041161 -        Skill in creating links and crafting a record that is useful
041162 -        now and in the future to reveal cause and effect, must be
041163 -        acquired.  Skill is needed to describe an event so that it
041164 -        directs attention to related knowledge.  The POIMS paper
041165 -        explains the objective to provide clear, concise and complete
041166 -        communication. ref OF 3 1218
041168 -         ..
041169 -        Skill is also needed to recognize when multiple subjects and
041170 -        additional linkages are needed because at a future time the
041171 -        context of current information will be different, and so will
041172 -        disguise cause and effect, which is the goal of traceability
041173 -        and continual learning, as seen in case studies, case law, and
041174 -        the Bible, per ref SDS 8 line 164.
041176 -      ..
041177 -     Like most professional skills in law, medicine, management,
041178 -     design, the rudiments of Communication Metrics can be learned, but
041179 -     most of the skill is acquired by continued application.
041181 -      ..
041182 -     Pushing a Button
041183 -
041184 -     Fortunately there is no skill required to apply the links once
041185 -     they are created. That is why a trusted and skilled communication
041186 -     engineer is needed who can ensure adequate intellectual capital is
041187 -     invested, so it is available later when needed at the push of a
041188 -     button to discover critical knowledge.
041189 -
041191 -  ..
041192 - Relevance Paragraph
041193 -      ..
041194 -     Morris Comments
041195 -
041196 -     Morris suggests holding this section to no more than 5 lines.
041197 -
041198 -     Rod's Comment
041199 -
041200 -     GWU's guide asks for 10 - 12 lines, ref DRP 2 line 428.  I worked
041201 -     at this, keeping in mind the instruction from GWU to offer a
041202 -     little more rather than less information, so their editors can
041203 -     work the material to an adequate length, ref DRP 2 line 339.
041205 -      ..
041206 -     If this flies, they will edit it as they wish.  My initial aim is
041207 -     to help them understand what to accomplish.
041208 -
041209 -
041211 -  ..
041212 - Descriptive Paragraph cites "New World Order" as a metaphor to
041213 - encapsle the increase in the flow of information due to automation,
041214 - ref OF 1 line ref OF 1 line 371.
041215 -      ..
041216 -     Morris Comments
041217 -
041218 -     New world order last used by George Bush to describe conditions
041219 -     after the fall of communism and the assertion of world policing
041220 -     by the United nations.
041221 -      ..
041222 -     Rod's Comment
041223 -
041224 -     I see the fall of communism and new geopolitical boundaries as a
041225 -     consequence of a more pervasive order implicit in the explosion of
041226 -     information technology.
041227 -
041228 -     CSPAN viewed a conference in Washington D.C. today that brought
041229 -     together so called futurists, asorted gurus and pundits, many from
041230 -     the information technology field, i.e., various "Institutes".
041231 -     Among these was Alvin Tofler.  They used the term "New World
041232 -     Order" in describing the impact of information technology, ref SDS
041233 -     18 line 76.
041234 -
041236 -  ..
041237 - Applications and Benefits... I state in item 4:
041238 -
041239 -     Implements ISO standards for quality management calling for
041240 -     traceability and continual learning.
041241 -      ..
041242 -     Morris Comments
041243 -
041244 -     You should use the standard number here.
041245 -
041246 -     Rod's Comment
041247 -
041248 -     I didn't do it because it tends to particularize a general
041249 -     benefit, and because there is a different section for each
041250 -     function which when written out causes the reader to absorb more
041251 -     stuff.
041252 -
041254 -  ..
041255 - Prerequisite
041256 -
041257 -     I indicate attendees should have at least 10 years experience in
041258 -     "knowledge work."
041259 -      ..
041260 -     Morris Comments
041261 -
041262 -     You should should require a management degree or 3-5 management
041263 -     experience
041264 -
041265 -     This is not an introductory course, you audience could have some
041266 -     college freshmen in it otherwise.
041267 -      ..
041268 -     Rod's Comment
041269 -
041270 -     Seems like the 10 year experience requirement says we want people
041271 -     at least 35 and above.
041272 -
041273 -     Folks with management degrees are not necessarily prepared for
041274 -     Communication Metrics, unless they have had a chance to make some
041275 -     expensive mistakes.  My audience needs experience in the world,
041276 -     i.e. "Baker Street" reasoning called out in the "Improbable
041277 -     Machine" ref SDS 2 line 95.
041278 -
041280 -  ..
041281 - Instructor
041282 -      ..
041283 -     Morris' Comment
041284 -
041285 -     Use the words "industry consultant" instead of general
041286 -     contractor!!!
041287 -      ..
041288 -     Rod's Comment
041289 -
041290 -     This is a good point.  I have used this approach previously, but
041291 -     there is a certain temporal "on the make" aura about "consultants"
041292 -     that detracts from the authority of their prescriptions.  Mary
041293 -     Carillo quoted Mark Twaine today while announcing the US Open
041294 -     Tennis tournament for CBS, that an "expert" is "someone from out
041295 -     of town."  I am not from "out of town."
041297 -      ..
041298 -     I am reporting observations from being a general contractor about
041299 -     the nature of knowledge work, and I am offering ideas on how it
041300 -     can be improved using automation.  I want people to assess
041301 -     credibility of my work based on their experience in the world.
041302 -     Those who judge otherwise, are not ready for communication
041303 -     metrics.  Another way of saying it might be that I am appealing to
041304 -     the folks who survived the fine sounding Pied Piper.  Admittedly
041305 -     this is a smaller group.
041306 -
041307 -
041309 -  ..
041310 - Text
041311 -      ..
041312 -     Morris' Comment
041313 -
041314 -     You may want to use these in the course, and the college will not
041315 -     expect the students to have read them before coming to the
041316 -     seminar.  In five days of instruction, how much reading can you
041317 -     expect.
041318 -      ..
041319 -     Morris' Comment
041320 -
041321 -     "The Improbable Machine" is 288 pages, which can be read in a
041322 -     weekend, or browsed for concepts in a few hours.
041323 -
041324 -     The chapter in Drucker's book is only about 15 pages.  The larger
041325 -     task for reading are my papers on POIMS and the New World Order...
041326 -
041327 -
041328 -
041329 -
041330 -
0414 -
Distribution. . . . See "CONTACTS"