THE WELCH COMPANY
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S U M M A R Y


DIARY: July 12, 1994 03:50 PM Tuesday; Rod Welch

Received ideas on the cause of major mistakes in human affairs.

1...Summary/Objective
...............Ten Philosphical Mistakes
....[Scenario of small errors escalate to major mistakes explained on


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CONTACTS 

SUBJECTS
Mistakes, Impact on Meeting Objectives
Remembering (linked records)
Management productivity & Teamwork
Murphy's Law, avoiding mistakes
Aristotle, Truth
Aristotle Least Initial Deviation from Truth Multiplied Later a Thous
Drifting Off Course
Deviation from Truth Multiplied by Time
Ten Philosophical Mistakes, Mortimer Adler, Aristotle: Least Deviatio

1511 -    ..
1512 - Summary/Objective
1513 -
151301 - Follow up ref SDS 1 4933.
151302 - ..
151303 - Found in following book:
151304 -
151305 -
151306 -               Ten Philosphical Mistakes
151307 -               Mortimer J. Adler
151308 -               MacMillan Publishing Company
151309 -               copyright 1985
151310 -
151311 -
151312 - In the prologue on page xiii, Adler says:
151313 -
151314 -    "The least initial deviation from the truth is multiplied later a
151315 -    thousandfold."  So wrote Aristotle in the fourth century B.C.
151316 -
151317 -    Sixteen centuries later Thomas Aquinas echoed this observation.
151318 -    Paraphrasing it, he said in effect that little errors in the
151319 -    beginning lead to serious consequences in the end.
151320 -
151321 - This supports the importance of capturing the record to avoid mistakes
151322 - from the Information Highway, i.e. "debugging" management, which arose
151323 - in thinking about the cause of "Murphy's Law" from the PMI Asilomar
151324 - conference at ref SDS 2 line 238.
151325 -
151326 -      [On 940820 cited this idea. ref SDS 3 7767,
151327 -
151328 -      [On 941026 cited Aristotle at PMI meeting analysis ref SDS 5 6925
151329 -
151330 -    [Scenario of small errors escalate to major mistakes explained on
151331 -    950207. ref SDS 6 6696  An example is the DNRC experience where
151332 -    submittals requirements were waived, the right to an independent
151333 -    testing agent was given up to save $20K, tolerances were waived,
151334 -    scheduling requirements were waived, documents were not analysed,
151335 -    the record was mis-reported, all in the name of expediting the
151336 -    work; compound error that escalates harm is reported on 941020.
151337 -    ref SDS 4 6007
151338 -
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151340 -
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151342 -
151343 -
1514 -