THE WELCH COMPANY
440 Davis Court #1602
San Francisco, CA 94111-2496
415 781 5700
rodwelch@pacbell.net


S U M M A R Y


DIARY: January 23, 1992 01:30 PM Thursday; Rod Welch

Debriefing on DNRC and Power meeting with Voith on speed increaser.

1...Summary/Objective
....Follow Up
2...Transcribed Notes
....Follow Up
3...Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
....Voith's Persistent Failure to Perform
4...Voith Did Not Submit Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
5...Dave advised that at the Jan 14, 1992 meeting in York, Voith alleged
6...Voith Promised to Submit Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
7...Voith Admits Knowing Scope of Shop Drawings Needed for SI
....Submittal Dates to be Confirmed
....Follow Up
8...Economic Analysis
....Inspection Program
........DNRC Insists on Adequate Inspection
....Inspection Risks
....Retrofit Option Delays
9...Follow Up
....Verify Lost Revenue Projections
....Install Time to Replace SI
....Install Time to Retrofit
........Voith Liability
....Cost Estimates
....Technical Analysis
....Follow Up


..............
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CONTACTS 
0201 - Dep Natrl Rscrs & Consvn                                                                                                                                       O-00000395 0102
020101 - Mr. Wayne Wetzel
020102 - Mr. Walt Anderson; Hydro Power Section Supervisor
020103 - Engineering Bureau  fax 406 444 0533
020104 - Mr. Mike Sims                                                                                                                                                    O-00000395 0203
020105 - Plant Superintendent
020106 - Engineering Bureau  fax 406 444 0533
020107 - Mr. Rick Bondy; Chief; Engineering Bureau  fax 406 444 0533                                                                                                      O-00000395 0205
020108 - Ms. Sarah Ann Bond, Esquire
020109 - Department Counsel
020110 - Mr. Gary Fritz; Administrator
0202 - Power Field Services, Inc.                                                                                                                                         O-00000255 0201
020201 - Mr. Dave O'Day, P.E.; Project Manager                                                                                                                            O-00000395 0701

SUBJECTS
Voith Contract Closeout
Engineering Management
Failure to Perform, General Notice to Voith
Submit Shop Drawings for approval, review
Meeting Procedures, Transcripts
Case Study Broadwater

1008 -
1008 -    ..
1009 - Summary/Objective
1010 -
101001 - Follow up ref SDS 18 0000.
101002 -
101003 - This meeting was to get the results from the York meeting, relative to
101004 - the objectives set out at ref SDS 6 0000.
101005 -
101006 -    Dave O'Day submitted his notes from the York meeting, ref DRT 1
101007 -    0000.
101009 -     ..
101010 -    Walt's notes will be available tomorrow.
101011 -
101013 -     ..
101014 -    Follow Up
101015 -
101016 -    Wayne requested a list of things to do and assignments to proceed
101017 -    following the York meeting.
101018 -
101020 -  ..
101021 - Transcribed Notes
101022 -
101023 - Dave advised that DNRC's side requested a note taker which Voith
101024 - supplied for the two (2) days of meetings in York.
101025 -
101026 -    It was unclear from the meeting today when Voith is required to
101027 -    submit the transcript of the meetings, and whether there was a
101028 -    request for a copy of the original notes.
101030 -     ..
101031 -    Follow Up
101032 -
101033 -    Consideration will be given to demand a copy of the transcribed
101034 -    notes to see if they differ in any material way with the under-
101035 -    standings reflected by meeting notes prepared by Power and DNRC.  A
101036 -    copy of the note taker's original notes are also needed for record
101037 -    purposes.
101038 -
101040 -  ..
101041 - Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
101042 -
101043 - Dave reported that Voith did not provide the SI shop drawings as it
101044 - promised to do in requesting DNRC attend the meeting in York.
101045 -
101047 -     ..
101048 -    Voith's Persistent Failure to Perform
101049 -
101050 -    There was initial discussion today of the post-award Submittal
101051 -    Schedule meeting on Nov 3, 1987 at Tudor's office in San Francisco,
101052 -    in which Renk shows in a document dated Sep 8, 1987 that the speed
101053 -    increaser "shop drawings" would be submitted on Feb 3, 1988 (see
101054 -    ref OF 1 3988).  Voith was required to submit these shop drawings
101055 -    but did not do so and the majority of submittals it did make on the
101056 -    speed increaser are dated Feb 15, 1989, 3 months after the speed
101057 -    increaser was delivered to the job.  Such submittals were
101058 -    thereafter rejected on Mar 28, 1989, and there is no record they
101059 -    have been revised, re-submitted and approved. ref OF 2  See review
101060 -    in the record on 911116. ref SDS 2 4912
101062 -     ..
101063 -    There was also consideration today that Voith represented in its
101064 -    letter of July 29, 1991 that the design for the replacement speed
101065 -    increaser would be completed on or about Sep 7, 1991, and that
101066 -    Voith later promised in a supplemental Agreement on Sep 3, 1991 to
101067 -    submit on or about Nov 15, 1991 shop drawings showing the speed
101068 -    increaser complies with the contract.
101070 -     ..
101071 -    Voith failed to perform these promises.
101073 -     ..
101074 -    DNRC demanded in a letter of Nov 21, 1991 that Voith submit by Dec
101075 -    5, 1991 the shop drawings for the original speed increaser (due on
101076 -    Feb 3, 1988), and that Voith also submit shop drawings for Voith's
101077 -    proposed corrective work.  Voith failed to perform this demand; but
101078 -    instead on Dec 5, 1991 Voith promised to fulfill its contract and
101079 -    proposed a meeting on speed increaser shop drawings.  On Dec 13,
101080 -    1991, ref SDS 7 0758, DNRC Deputy Director agreed to meet with
101081 -    Voith for the following purpose, stating:
101082 -
101083 -         ... that DNRC will meet with Voith's technical engineers in
101084 -         Germany, York, PA, or such other location as may expedite the
101085 -         timely review of all relevant information.  Wayne requested
101086 -         that this be done as soon as possible and for as long as
101087 -         necessary (e.g. a day, a week, two weeks).  Greg suggested
101088 -         meeting at Voith's office in York.  Voith will provide all
101089 -         shop drawing information and make available such working areas
101090 -         and administrative support as the parties require to make a
101091 -         professional review of the speed increaser design sufficient
101092 -         to show Voith's proposed design meets the contract.
101093 -
101095 -  ..
101096 - Voith Did Not Submit Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
101097 -
101098 - Dave advised that Voith represented at the York meeting that despite
101099 - being an experienced hydro electric contractor, and despite having bid
101100 - to perform the requirements in the contract specifications, and
101101 - despite having committed to submit shop drawings on Feb 3, 1988 and on
101102 - numerous occasions thereafter, that Voith did not provide the shop
101103 - drawings at the Jan 14, 1992 meeting in York, because Voith did not
101104 - know what shop drawings to submit that would show its work complies
101105 - with the contract.  Voith advised that it left the shop drawings in
101106 - Germany, even though DNRC had agreed to go to Germany if that is where
101107 - the shop drawings are located.
101108 -
101109 -
101111 -  ..
101112 - Dave advised that at the Jan 14, 1992 meeting in York, Voith alleged
101113 - that DNRC from whom Voith has at all times withheld its shop drawings,
101114 - should somehow have told Voith which specific shop drawings to bring
101115 - to the meeting.  Voith's allegation conflicts with the purpose of the
101116 - meeting as stated in the Dec 13, 1991 telephone call that Voith was to
101117 - bring "all shop drawing information" to the meeting so DNRC and its
101118 - representatives could determine which shop drawings were needed,
101119 -
101120 -
101122 -  ..
101123 - Voith Promised to Submit Speed Increaser Shop Drawings
101124 -
101125 - Dave advised that despite Voith's failure to perform, Voith strongly
101126 - maintained at the Jan 14, 1991 meeting that it would submit the speed
101127 - increaser shop drawings and intended to complete its contract with
101128 - DNRC, 1189.1.
101130 -  ..
101131 - Dave explained that in order to assist Voith, Power submitted to Voith
101132 - on Jan 15, 1991 a drawing list (prepared with Geartech's assistance)
101133 - based upon representations by Voith that Voith would comply with GC
101134 - 6.7.2, 6.7.3 and other applicable submittal contract provisions.
101135 -
101137 -  ..
101138 - Voith Admits Knowing Scope of Shop Drawings Needed for SI
101139 -
101140 - After Power submitted a list of proposed shop drawings for Voith to
101141 - submit, Voith objected to the scope of the list and stated that Voith
101142 - would determine which shop drawings to send for review by the
101143 - Engineer.  This record indicates that Voith has at all times known
101144 - what shop drawings to submit, but has at all times refused to do so.
101145 -
101147 -     ..
101148 -    Submittal Dates to be Confirmed
101149 -
101150 -    Dave indicated there was no requirement set out in Power's letter
101151 -    for the date Voith is to submit the shop drawings.  He explained
101152 -    that there was a verbal understanding that some drawings are to be
101153 -    submitted on January 24, and the balance are due by January 31,
101154 -    1992.
101156 -     ..
101157 -    It was not clear from the discussion today whether these under-
101158 -    standings have been confirmed in writing to Voith.
101159 -
101161 -     ..
101162 -    Follow Up
101163 -
101164 -    Consideration will be given to confirm this state of the record and
101165 -    such verbal understandings that involve any action Voith offers,
101166 -    agrees or is directed to take in connection with the contract.  The
101167 -    record shows Voith does not respond to verbal understandings that
101168 -    are contrary to its view of its interests, but rather has persis-
101169 -    tently and incorrectly attributed its failures to perform to DNRC
101170 -    failures to give Voith adequate notice.
101172 -     ..
101173 -    Therefore, careful attention is needed on matters involving the
101174 -    notice provisions of the contract.
101175 -
101176 -
101177 -
101178 -
1012 -

SUBJECTS
Meetings Productivity Official View of Reality False Memory Rely Con
Replace v. Retrofit, 920120

1804 -
1805 - Discussion
180601 -  ..
180602 - Economic Analysis
180603 -
180604 - Follow up ref SDS 19 8856, ref SDS 18 8851.
180605 -
180606 - During the meeting today, Sarah asked Dave to investigate Tudor's
180607 - 910816 letter, ref DRP 2 0000, on the economic evaluation of
180608 - replacement v. retrofit.
180610 -  ..
180611 - Rick commented that DNRC has already determined that Tudor's 910816
180612 - analysis was inadequate.  Walt asked why further analysis is needed,
180613 - since Rick made a review last August?
180615 -  ..
180616 - Dave with Power Engineering recommended that, based on Rick's
180617 - analysis, DNRC ignore Tudor's report and develop a separate projected
180618 - revenue study for each day of the year.
180619 -
180620 -     [On 920124 Rick explained that his conclusions about the adequacy
180621 -     of Tudor's 910816 letter did not reflect the detailed scheduling
180622 -     and cost information attached to Tudor's report.  He has not seen
180623 -     that information and so has no opinion on it. ref SDS 20 0001
180625 -  ..
180626 - Sarah explained that the department plans to fire Tudor and sue them
180627 - to recover damages for failure to perform.  One of the grounds for
180628 - action is that Tudor's letter on 910816 failed to provide economic
180629 - analysis of Voith's proposal on fixing the speed increasor.  Tudor is
180630 - obligated to provide such professional advice under terms of an
180631 - agreement for engineering services on Broadwater Dam.  While, as Walt
180632 - points out, everyone has been disappointed by Tudor's letter on
180633 - 910816, review this morning found calculations showing present value
180634 - analysis, and detailed work plans of the projected tasks and times in
180635 - a CPM format (which lends credibility that may not be justified) from
180636 - which a calculation of downtime for replacement v. retrofit could be
180637 - useful for weighing the relative risks of options facing DNRC
180638 - management. ref SDS 19 8856, Before the department recommends to the
180639 - Director that the State fire Tudor, and sue them for failure to
180640 - perform, the Legal Department and Executive Office want to get this
180641 - additional information checked by engineering experts to determine if
180642 - Tudor failed to perform, or possibly DNRC overlooked a good faith, and
180643 - professional work product.
180644 -
180645 -          [On 040416 case study cognitive overhead not enough time for
180646 -          diligence perform good management. ref SDS 21 GN7J
180648 -           ..
180649 -          [On 050517 case study researching resistance to diligence
180650 -          investing time for cognitive overhead. ref SDS 22 PY4U
180651 -
180652 -
180654 -     ..
180655 -    Inspection Program
180656 -
180657 -    Dave reported that Geartech recommends a careful inspection program
180658 -    under the retrofit option, of the disassembled speed increaser.
180659 -    Voith raised objections in the York meeting to this on the grounds
180660 -    of extra cost and delay, see Power's report of Jan 23, 1992, ref
180661 -    DRT 2 line 385.
180662 -
180664 -         ..
180665 -        DNRC Insists on Adequate Inspection
180666 -
180667 -        Sarah pointed out that since the prior speed increaser failed,
180668 -        and is admitted to be defective in several respects and since
180669 -        it is an unauthorized substitution, and since Voith appears to
180670 -        have ignored inspection reports on the original speed increaser
180671 -        that it did not meet the specifications, then if Voith feels
180672 -        that retrofit is the best method to meet the contract specifi-
180673 -        cation, DNRC should follow the recommendations of the Engineer
180674 -        on insisting upon full and complete inspection of the disas-
180675 -        sembled unit.  DNRC is now on notice to inspect more carefully
180676 -        than was done with the prior effort.
180677 -        ..
180678 -        This position is consistent with advice from hydro
180679 -        electric engineers, ref SDS 5 line 250, ref SDS 10 line 72 and
180680 -        ref SDS 13 line 89.
180681 -
180683 -     ..
180684 -    Inspection Risks
180685 -    Retrofit Option Delays
180686 -
180687 -    The time required for performing an adequate inspection may extend
180688 -    the period of downtime associated with the retrofit option.  There
180689 -    is also a possibility that inspection will disclose defects that
180690 -    require other repairs and parts which could extend the down time
180691 -    for lost revenue for several weeks or months.
180692 -
180693 -
180695 -  ..
180696 - Follow Up
180697 -
180698 -
180699 -    Verify Lost Revenue Projections
180700 -
180701 -    Sarah will ask Wayne to ask a DNRC person to prepare the daily lost
180702 -    revenue report that Power recommends.
180703 -
180704 -        Consideration should be given to obtain the Engineer's written
180705 -        recommendation on the scope and format for this report.
180706 -
180708 -     ..
180709 -    Install Time to Replace SI
180710 -
180711 -    Tudor seems to show about 2 months are needed for this task, ref
180712 -    DRP 2 lines 66 - 74.  There appears to be no information in the
180713 -    record from Voith on this position.
180714 -
180715 -        Tudor's valuations should be checked against estimates from
180716 -        Voith or some other credible source.
180717 -
180719 -     ..
180720 -    Install Time to Retrofit
180721 -
180722 -    Voith has estimated the downtime for retrofit option from 4 to 5
180723 -    months, ref DRP 1 0000. Tudor estimates downtime from 3 to 6+
180724 -    months. Power's meeting notes indicate inspection tasks on the
180725 -    disassembled unit recommended by Geartech which would further
180726 -    extend the dura- tion of this activity, see ref DRT 1 line 389.
180728 -     ..
180729 -    The Engineer should develop estimates from credible sources on this
180730 -    matter.
180732 -         ..
180733 -        Voith Liability
180734 -
180735 -        Engineer should give Voith notice to submit work plans for
180736 -        retrofit and replacement on which the Owner can rely to
180737 -        evaluate the choice of retrofit or replacement in light of
180738 -        differences in lost revenue time.
180739 -
180740 -
180741 -
180743 -     ..
180744 -    Cost Estimates
180745 -
180746 -    Estimates of cost are needed from Voith for following:
180747 -
180748 -        1.  Replace with new spur gear.
180749 -
180750 -        2.  Replace with double helical gear.
180752 -             ..
180753 -        3.  Retrofit existing gear.
180755 -         ..
180756 -        Note:  Voith was required and remains obligated to submit
180757 -               information on costs of its alternate design under GC
180758 -               6.7.2 and 6.7.3.
180759 -
180761 -     ..
180762 -    Technical Analysis
180763 -
180764 -    Engineering opinions are needed from Voith and the Engineer on
180765 -    merits and risks of items 1 - 3 above, particularly in resolving
180766 -    difficulties cited in the Power report on the York meeting, ref
180767 -    DRT 1 lines 75, 88, 95, 104, 173, 200, 210, 225, 266, 375, 445,
180768 -    455.
180769 -
180770 -
180771 -
180772 -
180773 -
1808 -

SUBJECTS
Voith Contract Closeout
Opinion Contract Requirements,
Industry Standards, 911005
Expert opinions
Admissions by Voith on Defective Work
Notices: Noise/Vibration

2208 -
2209 - Discussion
221001 -  ..
221002 - Dave and Walt reported on the technical information set out in
221003 - Power's report ref DRT 1 0000.
221005 -  ..
221006 - This report focuses mainly on the design considerations and presents
221007 - some management issues with respect to adopting the retrofit option
221008 - for the speed increaser.
221009 -
221010 -    The subjects of this section are treated in the Power's report at
221011 -    ref DRT 1 line 75, 88, 95, 104, 173, 200, 210, 225, 266, 375, 445,
221012 -    455.
221014 -     ..
221015 -    The general impression that emerges from the report is that there
221016 -    remains considerable design work to be done to bring the original
221017 -    design into conformance with contract requirements for the speed
221018 -    increaser.
221019 -
221021 -     ..
221022 -    Follow Up
221023 -
221024 -    The understandings set out in Power's report need to be checked
221025 -    against the meeting transcript prepared by Voith.  If the trans-
221026 -    cript supports the meeting notes, there appear to be some helpful
221027 -    admissions against interest by Voith with respect to DNRC's right
221028 -    to demand a new speed increaser.
221030 -     ..
221031 -    The Engineer should report on the chances of success and likely
221032 -    progress in meeting the concerns raised in the report.
221033 -
221034 -
221035 -
2211 -
Distribution. . . . See "CONTACTS"