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S U M M A R Y


DIARY: August 5, 1997 09:57 AM Tuesday; Rod Welch

Received reply from Air Force on researching information entropy.

1...Summary/Objective
2...Entropy Information Reflects "Noise"
3...Uncertainty Analysis for Program Management


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CONTACTS 

SUBJECTS
Cost/Benefit of Better Communications
Market Fears Being First to Use New Methods
Communication Manager Fewer People More
Cost Benefit - Increase Usefulness, Reduce
Level of Effort, Calculate Cost Benefit
Overhead Managers are Unproductive
Risk Management, Contingency Analysis, Value at Risk
Noise, Too Noisy Cannot Understand Content,
Entropy in Communications
Guess Gossip Commedy of Errors Murphy's Law

1212 -    ..
1213 - Summary/Objective
1214 -
121401 - Follow up ref SDS 5 0000, ref SDS 3 0000.
121402 -
121403 - Got some feedback from AFIT, but only stating they cannot find anyone
121404 - working on improving management.  Called and got a another lead in
121405 - the Logistics School which seems to be part of AFIT.  Sent letter via
121406 - email to two new contacts.
121407 -
121408 -
121409 -
121410 -
1215 -
1216 -
1217 - Progress
1218 -
121801 -  ..
121802 - Entropy Information Reflects "Noise"
121803 - Uncertainty Analysis for Program Management
121804 -
121805 - Followed up work at ref SDS 5 line 65, ref SDS 3 line 64, re
121806 - line 224.
121807 -
121808 - Received ref DRT 1 line 30 from Edward F. Mykytka, responding to my
121809 - original inquiry from lead on the Web, ref DIP 1 line 19 issued on
121810 - 970708, ref SDS 3 line 109, looking for people who are working on the
121811 - ideas explained in the article in the PMI publication reviewed on
121812 - 970707. ref SDS 1 0611.
121813 -
121814 - Ed [Edward F. Mykytka] is
121815 -
121816 -                  Head, Dept of  Operational Sciences
121817 -                  Air Force Institute of  Technology
121818 -                  (937) 255-6565 ext 4329
121819 - ..
121820 - He says in his email this morning that he was unable to find
121821 - anyone on their current staff who can help on my interest, per his
121822 - offer to do so, ref DRP 2 0000.  He advises there are people in the
121823 - "Log School" who are working on the subject of my inquiry, ref DRT 1
121824 - 0000.
121825 -
121826 - Ed does not seem to respond to my follow up inquiry, ref DIP 2 0000,
121827 - submitted at ref SDS 5 0000, which correlates ideas about entropy with
121828 - empowerment and command and control discussed in the Intel paper
121829 - reviewed on 970710, ref SDS 4 0000.
121830 -
121831 - I sent Ed a reply asking about how to contact people at the "Log
121832 - School" cited in Ed's letter, ref DIT 1 0000.  Did not ask about
121833 - responding to my second letter, ref DIP 2 0000, that relates my
121834 - inquiry to Risk Management and "empowerment."
121835 -
121836 -
121837 -
1219 -
1220 -
1221 - 1015 called Ed      (937) 255-6565 ext 4329
1222 -   ..
122201 - I called Ed at the number in his email.  He had just received my
122202 - email response, ref DIT 1 0000.
122203 -
122204 - Ed said he tried to locate the people who authored the original AFIT
122205 - article, ref OF 1 0000, per my letter, ref DIP 1 0000.  He said they
122206 - are no longer listed as DOD personnel.
122207 -
122208 - I explained my understanding that the subject of this research relates
122209 - to records management and its impact on management productivity and
122210 - cost containment, which are very common issues for DOD procurement.
122211 -
122212 - Ed agreed those are the right buz words to identify people working on
122213 - risk management and my specific inquiry about the entropic cost model
122214 - for weapons systems, ref DIP 1 line 26.  He said the Logistics School
122215 - is most likely to have people working on these matters.
122216 -
122217 - Ed suggested I conatct:
122218 -
122219 -     Dr. Kirk Vaughan, devaughan@afit.af.mil
122220 -
122221 -         Assistant Dean for Research and Consulting
122222 -
122223 -      s. Craig Brandt   cbrandt@afit.af.mil
122224 -
122225 -         Head of Department of Logistics Management
122226 -
122227 -
122228 -  ..
1223 -
1224 -
1225 - 1153 Submitted follow up
1226 -
122601 - Prepared ref DIT 2 line 30 to explain my objective of working with
122602 - resarchers and locate studies on the impact of information flow on
122603 - management/communication productivity.
122604 -
122605 - Cite influence of TQM (Deming) ref DIT 2 line 51, and Hammer on
122606 - Reengineering, ref DIT 2 line 61, as well as technology that increase
122607 - risk of management by guess and gossip, ref DIT 2 line 46. Cited Intel
122608 - paper that ties "empowerment" methods to information entropy, ref DIT
122609 - 2 line 40, per analysis at ref SDS 4 line 133 and ref SDS 4 line 193.
122610 -
122611 -     [See response from Kirk Vaughan, ref SDS 6 line 101.]
122612 -
122613 -
122614 -
122615 -