THE WELCH COMPANY
440 Davis Court #1602
San Francisco, CA 94111-2496
415 781 5700
rodwelch@pacbell.net
S U M M A R Y
DIARY: September 19, 2008 01:11 AM Friday;
Rod Welch
Letter to Ross on financial meltdown IBM weathering the storm.
1...Summary/Objective
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CONTACTS
0201 - IBM Global Financing
020101 - Mr. Ross H. Armstrong
020102 - Business Unit Executive
020104 - Commercial & Vendor Financing, Americas
SUBJECTS
Financial Crisis IBM Global Financing Weathering Storm Stu High Scho
0703 -
0703 - ..
0704 - Summary/Objective
0705 -
070501 - Follow up ref SDS 24 0000. ref SDS 20 0000.
070502 -
070503 -
070504 -
070505 -
070506 -
070507 -
070509 - ..
0706 -
0707 -
0708 - Progress
0709 -
070901 - Subitted ref DIT 1 0001 to Ross following up an earlier letter to
070902 - Ross, ref DIP 6 0001 on 080712, ref SDS 24 PF6I, which responded to
070903 - his letter dated 080617, ref DRP 7 0001, received a day later on
070904 - 080618, ref SDS 20 PF6I, and responding to the letter a few days
070905 - earlier sent on 080616 to the family. ref SDS 18 EV7I Ross's letter
070906 - received on 080618 followed up prior correspendence on 061015.
070907 - ref SDS 9 JQ7K
070909 - ..
070910 - The letter to Ross says...
070911 -
070912 - 1. How are things going? You have a marathon coming up [cited in
070913 - Ross' letter received on 080618, ref SDS 20 Q86R], and Stu is
070914 - back in football [Ross' letter received on 061015 reported he
070915 - was "moving the chains" for Stu's high school football games,
070916 - ref SDS 9 JI9L], Hutch is in medical school.
070918 - ..
070919 - 2. Is IBM Credit ["moving the chains"] weathering the storm of
070920 - financial crisis [see the letter to Ross on 080712, ref SDS 24
070921 - A55P]? ref DIT 1 0001
070923 - ..
070924 - On 060809 Ross mentioned enjoying the world of high finance.
070925 - ref SDS 8 GQ6Q On 061015 letter to Ross correlated "moving the
070926 - chains" to applying good management practice for better productivity
070927 - in every field. ref SDS 9 JI9L
070929 - ..
070930 - Letter to Ross continues...
070931 -
070932 - 3. The Enron collapse on 020204 was the "canary in the mine"
070933 - presaging systemic failure to perform good management.
070934 - ref SDS 3 ST5G, and simply ignored accounting requirements, for
070935 - placing stockholders' money at risk. ref SDS 3 P49F Enron bet
070936 - on bad management and collapsed into bankruptcy, because high
070937 - profile and venerable accounting auditors, Arthur Anderson,
070938 - refused to apply laws and regulations that mandate accurate
070939 - accounting. ref SDS 3 WC5H, ref DIT 1 NJ6G
070941 - ..
070942 - 4. It seemed pretty evident a correction was coming during
070943 - testimony before Congress on 030826 that engineers at NASA have
070944 - learned to interpret "requirements" for good management as
070945 - "suggestions," which can be ignored as "unnecessary overkill,"
070946 - when everybody is busy in meetings and talking on the cell
070947 - phone. ref SDS 6 8K4G, ref DIT 1 NJ6N
070949 - ..
070950 - 5. Financial managers are evidently as nimble as engineers playing
070951 - fast and loose with standards under the rubric of "financial
070952 - engineering." ref DIT 1 NJ7N
070954 - ..
070955 - 6. Millie has had a good run on referral at UCSF. She is the only
070956 - patient still in the clinical study. Previously, the longest
070957 - any patient had been treated in the study was 10 months.
070958 - Millie has been treated for nearly 2 years. During a meeting
070959 - at Kaiser in June, the doctor came in the room and commented
070960 - something along the lines: "Gosh; you look great! I thought
070961 - you died!" ref SDS 17 0T6I, ref DIT 1 NJ8I
070963 - ..
070964 - 7. This was meant as a joke, but there is a serious point about
070965 - the perils of complex management. Compare for example work on
070966 - 080711 to be prepared for using new technology. ref SDS 23
070967 - OC9G, with excitement a week later when Mil nearly "cashed in,"
070968 - because folks did not have enough time to be prepared, and
070969 - denial prevents planning for contingency. ref SDS 25 2U8V,
070970 - ref DIT 1 NJ8S,
070972 - ..
070973 - 8. On the plus side, after difficulties on 080718, Kaiser buckled
070974 - down and made corrections enabling a successful CT test last
070975 - week on 080911. ref SDS 26 JG43, ref DIT 1 NJ4M
070977 - ..
070978 - 9. Financial markets are similar. You cannot help successful
070979 - people improve to avoid problems. When problems ultimately
070980 - occur, sometimes folks improve to survive. Those who do
070981 - survive and rise, then face the dilemma that success sows the
070982 - seeds of failure, illustrated by the study on 020504.
070983 - ref SDS 4 NS6F
070985 - ..
070986 - 10. Incidentally, Millie's daughter Pam hiked up Half Dome in
070987 - Yosemite a few weeks ago. Millie has been training toward
070988 - first doing Mt Diablo, and then maybe Half Dome next year.
070989 - We'll see how things go.
070990 -
070991 -
070992 -
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070995 -
070996 -
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070999 -
0710 -
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